2012 election looks to be the most competitive in last 100 years

The Real Clear Politics tracking poll shows 10 Republicans as announced or at least considering a run for President in 2012. At this point of course none have built any kind of a commanding lead, but that doesn’t stop the political pundits from declaring who among them is electable and who will assure Obama’s reelection.

It is important to point out that RCP’s poll is an average of all of the other polls. You can look at the details of these polls on line at: www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/us/republican_presidential_nomination-1452.html

Currently, Mitt Romney is considered the frontrunner with 17 percent. Romney appears to be the favorite of the mainstream media who see him as a “moderate.” In other words, he has demonstrated their penchant for big government solutions. Romney’s health care plan in Massachusetts is considered by many to be the model for Obamacare. Romney is now saying Obamacare is unconstitutional but he refuses to declare his Romney Care plan was a mistake. In other words, Romney is just another doublespeak politician whose track record indicates no real change.

Second in the RCP poll is undeclared candidate Sarah Palin, the candidate reporters love to hate. Palin started a bus tour but had the audacity to not inform the media of her plans. In an interview with Shawn Hannity, Palin said she has never run a traditional campaign or worried much about the media.

And that of course is the rub. That’s just not the way it’s done and the media elites just have to teach her a lesson – so much for objective journalism.

Before she is even an official candidate the attacks on her have begun. It doesn’t matter if the attacks are real or even relevant. They attack her for her knowledge of American history although the critics never bothered to check the complete history on Paul Revere. They attack her for “upstaging” other Republican candidates like Mitt Romney. And one reporter even accused her of criminal activity for using the American Flag on her bus. Seems according to that correspondent it is illegal to use the flag as part of an advertising campaign. It’s hard to imagine how a clear thinking individual would not understand that if burning the flag is protected political free speech, then displaying it proudly is equally protected free speech.

Some of the polls in the RCP average show Palin ahead of Romney even though she has not declared her candidacy.

Next in the poll is Rudy Giuliani who is in virtually a dead heat with Palin. Giuliani was not able to get traction in the 2008 election and eventually dropped out. I don’t think he will be a serious contender in this election cycle either.

Ron Paul is next with 8 percent of those polled promising support. Rand is the son of Ron Paul who many consider too conservative. It is too early to tell how his libertarian message will play in a world frustrated with a failing economy and growing deficit spending.

The next two candidates, Newt Gingrich and Herman Cain, are tied at just over 7 percent.

Cain is a newcomer to the political arena. He has never held political office. He has run a pizza chain and been a talk show host. As a political unknown it is probably indicative of the voters frustration with traditional politicians that Cain has moved up so quickly.

Gingrich on the other hand is another long time politician. He was credited with the Republican revolution back in the early nineties after developing his “Contract with America.” Gingrich’s problem is that much of that contract was ignored once the Republicans gained control of Congress. Gingrich will most likely fade quickly since he represents a return to the same failed policies that got us here in the first place.

The rest of the field, Tim Pawlenty, Michelle Bachmann, Rick Santorum, Jon Huntsman have not gained enough attention to be serious contenders at this point. Several of them are likely to drop out in the early primaries.

Voters are restless. Obama has not demonstrated any real leadership. The economy is fading and he has no plan to change direction or address the problem.

I expect this to be one of the hottest and most contentious elections in decades. That is healthy for our country.

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